Beijing Time (CEST) July 2 — Three matches in the final stage with fierce competition. Looking at the Asian Handicap (-1), the winning chances of underdog teams are collectively underestimated.

083 Spain (-1) vs Austria

Spain winning by a clear margin sits at 65% with a +17% gap, while Austria winning has a -20% gap. The underdog's winning chances are again overestimated, indicating a significant discrepancy.

084 Portugal (-1) vs Croatia

The three outcomes are nearly evenly distributed. The draw with handicap stands at 42% with a +13% gap. The loss with handicap, despite having the highest actual probability at 42%, received only 29% of votes. Croatia's winning chances are clearly underestimated, revealing a notable error in public perception.

085 Switzerland (-1) vs Algeria

The most explosive match. The loss-with-handicap gap is -27% (a major discrepancy). Algeria's winning probability at 49% is the highest among the three outcomes, yet only 22% voted for it—a severe underestimation. The draw-with-handicap gap of +16% is also inflated. Switzerland's difficulty in achieving a clear-margin victory far exceeds public expectations. This match shows the strongest upset signal.

Comparing Asian Handicap data across the three matches: Spain's 083 loss-with-handicap gap of -20% indicates that underdog winning chances remain overestimated. For Portugal 084, Croatia's actual winning probability of 42% significantly exceeds its 29% vote share, making it the most clearly underestimated team among the three. Switzerland 085 is the most dramatic, with a red-flag loss-with-handicap gap of -27% and an inflated draw-with-handicap gap of +16%. Algeria's actual winning probability of 49% is the highest among the three outcomes yet received minimal attention, making it the strongest upset signal across all three matches. Overall, the collective underestimation of underdog winning chances is a common pattern in this round, with the largest gap and most alarming situation occurring in match 085 Switzerland vs Algeria.

Traduit par IA.

Le site web d'AF est désormais en ligne ! Actualités complètes, commentaires, détails des matchs et statistiques sur votre ordinateur. Visitez : www.allfootballapp.com