On July 11th, after all the World Cup quarter-finals concluded, England and Argentina claiming the final two semi-final spots after extra time.

After the match, the data agency updated the latest probabilities for reaching the World Cup final and winning the title.

Probability of reaching the final:

France 57.44%

England 51.27%

Argentina 48.73%

Spain 42.56%

Championship probability:

France 33.81%

Spain 24.16%

England 21.97%

Argentina 20.06%