In the World Cup semifinals, France were eliminated by Spain in a 0-2 defeat. A data platform has updated the winning probabilities for the Ballon d'Or this year: Mbappe has dropped to 3%, Messi has risen to 2nd at 17%, and Kane is far ahead at 46%.

Ballon d'Or odds

1-Harry Kane (England/Bayern Munich) 46%

2- Messi (Argentina/Inter Miami) 17%

3-Yamal (Spain/Barcelona) 16%

4- Bellingham (England/Real Madrid) 6%

5-Dembélé (France/Paris Saint-Germain) 4%

6 - Mbappe (France/Real Madrid) 3%

7 - Olise (France/Bayern Munich) 2%

(Other candidates have less than a 2% chance)