Premier League Round 5 kicks off this weekend, and Sky Sports expert Lewis Jones predicts Chelsea will suffer an away defeat to Brentford, Arsenal will draw with Brighton & Hove Albion, Liverpool will lose to Bournemouth, Tottenham Hotspur will draw with Aston Villa, while Manchester City and Manchester United will both beat their respective opponents.

Brentford 2-1 Chelsea

Brentford excels at physical contact, winning second balls, and set-piece attacks—a style perfectly suited to trouble Chelsea. When Hull City scored from a corner, it exposed a defensive weakness for Chelsea, with Damian Martinez unable to clear the ball.

Brentford will maximize their set-piece opportunities. Among the 17 Premier League teams that haven't been relegated since last season's start, Chelsea concedes an average of 0.5 goals per match from set pieces—the second-highest in the league. Brentford has previously scored against Chelsea this way and averaged 0.73 expected goals (xG) from set pieces in their last three meetings. Predicted score: Brentford 2-1 Chelsea.

Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Aston Villa

There are many signs this match will be low-scoring. It's no secret that Tottenham Hotspur is struggling to score. In their last four Premier League matches, they've failed to score, averaging just 0.95 expected goals (xG) per game. In contrast, De Zerbi's team averaged 1.92 goals per match at Brighton & Hove Albion and Marseille, but has only managed 0.73 goals per game since taking over at Tottenham—a concerning pattern suggesting some form of "psychological barrier" within the club environment.

Villa has also scored just one goal in the Premier League this season. Both teams face serious scoring problems, albeit for different reasons. Tottenham has plenty of possession and attacking attempts but lacks penetration, while Aston Villa lacks shooting opportunities. Predicted score: Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Aston Villa.

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Arsenal

While Hürzeler hasn't beaten Arteta in their previous five meetings, his Brighton & Hove Albion side has certainly made life difficult for the defending champions. In their fiercely contested match, where both managers clashed intensely, Brighton & Hove Albion won the xG battle in four of five encounters, suggesting this away fixture remains challenging for Arsenal despite their perfect start to the season.

Veltman will look to contain Saka, who has returned as a threat with his ball-carrying ability. Saka drew 13 fouls in three Premier League matches, three of which resulted in direct yellow cards for his opponents, so their matchup will be worth watching. Predicted score: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Arsenal.

Everton 2-1 Ipswich Town

Ipswich's right-back Reece Davis now plays a role beyond that of a traditional fullback. His positioning is very advanced, often venturing deep into attacking areas. He recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in Ipswich's first four Premier League matches, showcasing his attacking contribution. I expect him to be involved in another goal, but predict Everton will beat Ipswich 2-1.

Newcastle United 1-2 Hull City

Newcastle United suffered a painful defeat, going down 0-4 to Leeds United and ultimately losing 1-4. After the match, Howe acknowledged the scoreline was "hard to digest" and admitted his young players couldn't match Leeds' physicality.

When Premier League teams concede four or more goals in a match (excluding fixtures against Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool), their next match record has been dismal—just 1 win, 5 draws, and 9 losses over the last 15 games. Predicted score: Newcastle United 1-2 Hull City.

Nottingham Forest 2-0 Coventry City

James Maddison is providing an excellent replacement for Elliott Anderson's tackle and dynamism in Forest's midfield, and his ability to draw fouls and yellow cards makes his performance noteworthy. Predicted score: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Coventry City.

Bournemouth 2-1 Liverpool

Arne Slot leads Liverpool to visit Bournemouth, his former club, which often raises the emotional temperature at the Vitality Stadium. Slot spent three seasons on the south coast, leading the team to a top Premier League finish, before joining Anfield this summer. Sunday marks his first return as an opposing manager.

There's an interesting historical pattern: managers often struggle when returning to their former clubs for the first time. Moyes' Manchester United lost to Everton, Potter's Chelsea lost to Brighton & Hove Albion, Thomas Frank's Tottenham Hotspur drew with Brentford, Rodgers' Liverpool drew with Swansea, and Pochettino's Tottenham Hotspur drew with Southampton.

These results suggest something unusual happens in these types of matches. Home fans know the manager, the players know him, and the match naturally becomes slightly more intense. Predicted score: Bournemouth 2-1 Liverpool.

Leeds United 3-1 Crystal Palace

With Leeds United, you can usually predict how they'll play. They're organized, aggressive, threatening from set pieces, with all players comfortable on the ball, and they rarely lose.

Since March this year, Leeds United has suffered just one defeat in their last 13 Premier League matches, recording 6 wins and 6 draws—the fewest losses in the league during this period. They demonstrated this style again in their last match, thrashing Newcastle United 4-1 at Elland Road.

Over their last 19 matches, Leeds has conceded only 2 first-half goals, recording 17 clean sheets in the first half during that span. This consistency is remarkable and shows how well-organized they are from the start. In contrast, Crystal Palace has conceded 11 goals in the first four rounds, so I still favor Leeds United. Predicted score: Leeds United 3-1 Crystal Palace.

Manchester City 2-0 Sunderland

Haaland has one remaining Premier League opponent he hasn't scored against: Sunderland. He's scored against 24 of the 25 league teams, with only the Black Cats being the exception. However, given Haaland's current incredible form, Sunderland are in danger.

Haaland has scored in three consecutive Premier League matches and netted 9 goals in his last 9 league games. His most recent goal was the winner against Manchester United at Old Trafford, once again demonstrating his ruthlessness and efficiency.

Sunderland's defense is difficult to break down, but Manchester City doesn't need to win by a large margin in every match. I expect Haaland to score and Manchester City to beat Sunderland 2-0.

Fulham 2-3 Manchester United

Playing a poor match before the international break is far from ideal for ten Hag. He now finds himself caught in the familiar cycle that recent Manchester United managers have experienced. Manchester United has managed just 1 win in their first four matches, and midweek they squandered a 2-0 lead against Brighton & Hove Albion.

Fulham will play an open game, which should suit Manchester United's attackers. One Fulham player stands out in particular. No player has recorded more touches than Josh King in the opponent's penalty box, and he's already registered 30 touches this season. He's also scored 2 goals from 11 shots and recorded 5 shots on target—this young player's performances are noteworthy. Predicted score: Fulham 2-3 Manchester United.

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