Football finance expert Kieran Maguire has predicted that Manchester City could face two severe penalties: a substantial fine and significant point deduction, following the discovery of multiple breaches of Premier League Financial Fair Play rules.

Given the severity of Manchester City's alleged breaches, the club could face various sanctions, with Maguire believing a substantial fine is likely. Speaking on talkSPORT, Maguire said: "Regarding the outcome, I think we need to look at precedent."
Maguire continued: "Chelsea was fined around £20 million by the FA (and remember, the FA could get involved again later) and the Premier League for financial breaches, such as failing to properly register agent payments. So you could estimate the fine this time will be quite substantial. Importantly, in the Chelsea case, the club agreed to pay the Premier League's legal costs, which were considerable. The legal costs this time will be significantly higher. Therefore, we're likely talking about £50 to £60 million, plus the substantive fine."
Maguire also predicted a significant point deduction for Manchester City and outlined his reasoning. He continued: "Of course, we have precedent with Nottingham Forest, Everton, and Leicester City, all of whom breached the Profit and Sustainability Rules and received point deductions. The logic behind this is that if you spend more on players, it gives you an advantage on the pitch, and that on-pitch advantage must be punished on the pitch through points deduction. Given that Manchester City's breaches occurred over a longer period and involved numerous violations across several years, you would expect the point deduction to be considerably larger than in previous cases. We don't know the exact amount by which Manchester City exceeded the PSR limit, but based on interpretation of previous rulings, the starting point for deduction is 3 points, with an additional one point for every £6.5 million over the limit. That would be the rough baseline. Then there's the question of whether they cooperated with the investigation. We would assume they likely didn't. This is known as an aggravating factor, and the independent commission can impose additional point deductions beyond that baseline. If all this is confirmed after appeal, my hunch is we could be looking at a deduction of around 50 to 60 points. If it exceeds 70 points, they would effectively be relegated. Because they would likely still try to avoid relegation, they might survive it. I think the attitude of the players and all the circumstances surrounding this will be quite interesting, but that's a Hollywood-style story. The main point is: would a punishment of that scale be justified?"
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