With only ten days remaining until the Ballon d'Or voting deadline (September 28), the fierce competition among the three hottest candidates—Kane, Lamine Yamal, and Mbappé—has reached its peak. Kane and Yamal both scored two goals in their latest league matches, while Mbappé must wait until the Madrid derby tomorrow morning to respond—playing away against Atlético Madrid, can he surpass Kane and Yamal with a hat-trick?

Kane: 101 Goals in 98 Matches, the Highest Efficiency in Bundesliga History

Let's start with Kane. On the evening of September 18, Beijing time (CEST), Bayern Munich destroyed Union Berlin 7-0 at home. Olise scored a hat-trick, but the biggest news belonged to Kane. He converted a penalty in the 38th minute, reaching the milestone of 100 Bundesliga goals, and then headed in another goal in the 54th minute, bringing his total Bundesliga goals to 101.

The key is efficiency—Kane reached 100 goals in just 98 Bundesliga matches, breaking Dieter Müller's record of 129 matches, making him the fastest player to score 100 goals in Bundesliga history. After the match, Kane himself said: "That was a top-level performance from start to finish. I'm proud to have scored 101 goals in the Bundesliga." These two goals further extend Kane's lead in Ballon d'Or chances. According to the latest data from prediction platform Kalshi Sports, Kane's probability of winning has reached 58%, leading by a significant margin.

Lamine Yamal: Scored in Four Consecutive La Liga Matches, But What About the Value of His Two Goals?

Yamal was equally impressive. In Matchday 6 of La Liga, Barcelona defeated Racing Santander 7-2 at home. After providing 2 assists, Yamal scored in the 89th minute from Adeyemi's assist, completing his first career record of scoring in four consecutive La Liga matches.

More importantly, three of these four matches saw him score two goals—Yamal scored two goals each against Levante, Valencia, and Rayo Vallecano previously. He has now scored in five consecutive matches across all competitions, truly in hot form.

However, objectively speaking, Yamal's performance this round is not as impactful as Kane's. A fan in the Dongqiudi comments section immediately said: "If Adeyemi hadn't provided that assist at the end, Yamal would have been very unfortunate." But the Ballon d'Or considers the accumulation over the entire season, and Yamal holds the La Liga title and the World Cup title, which are his greatest assets.

The latest Kalshi Sports probability shows Yamal at 26%, closely following Kane and continuing to narrow the gap.

The Pressure Is on Mbappé



Mbappé's most recent match was Real Madrid's narrow 3-2 away victory against Elche. He started and performed quite well with one goal and one assist, but compared to the other two, it was not particularly impressive. It seems he will be very serious in tomorrow's match against Atlético Madrid. Although Spanish media Relevo reported that Mbappé missed Real Madrid's pre-match training due to ankle discomfort, he will be included in the matchday squad.

Let's look at the opposition. Atlético Madrid's defense this season is actually not good—they have conceded 73 goals across all official competitions, setting a new record for most goals conceded in a single season under Simeone, with only 1 clean sheet in 15 Champions League matches. However, Atlético's defensive leader, Romero, has been in very good form recently. In their last match, a 4-0 victory over Osasuna, he won 8 of 9 duels and was never beaten by an opponent. Keeper Oblak is also Atlético's last line of defense.

Mbappé's career statistics against Atlético Madrid are not particularly impressive. Data from StatMuse shows he has scored only 2 goals in 8 previous matches against Atlético Madrid. However, Mbappé's performance this season is actually very good—he has been a starter in all 8 of his appearances for Real Madrid across all competitions, scoring 10 goals and providing 1 assist. A big derby match like this is precisely his best opportunity to prove his "sharpness."

Summary

Kane, with historic efficiency of 101 goals in 98 matches, tells the judges: I have the most solid data. Yamal responds with 4 consecutive La Liga goals: the World Cup title is his greatest asset. And Mbappé, now it's his turn.

Tomorrow morning, Wanda Metropolitano Stadium. Playing away against Atlético Madrid, scoring three goals to surpass Kane and Yamal? The script is written; it's only a matter of whether Mbappé can deliver.

In your opinion, how many goals can Mbappé score tomorrow? One, two, three, or... zero? We're waiting for your comments.

Diterjemahkan oleh AI.

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