According to statistics, in Premier League history, teams that have accumulated a perfect 18 points after the first six matches have a 57.1% chance of winning the league title that season, while teams with only 9 points after six matches have never won the Premier League title.

In this round of Premier League fixtures, Manchester City defeated Liverpool, who were down to ten men, 3-0, earning a perfect 18 points after six matches, while Liverpool, following their defeat, have accumulated only 9 points after six matches.

Historically, seven Premier League teams have accumulated a perfect 18 points after six matches, with four of them going on to win the title, achieving a success rate of 57.1%. In contrast, teams with only 9 points after the first six matches have never won the league title that season. (Note: Teams that have played only 5 matches are not included in this statistic).

Probability of winning the Premier League based on points after six matches: (Data points are: points, title probability, champions/total teams, teams with corresponding points this season).

18 points, 57.1%, 4/7, Man City

16 points, 40.0%, 6/15

15 points, 15.4%, 2/13, Arsenal

14 points, 22.7%, 5/22

13 points, 8.1%, 3/37, Brighton

12 points, 10.9%, 5/46

11 points, 8.6%, 5/58

10 points, 5.7%, 3/53, Chelsea, Brentford, Everton

9 points, 0.0%, 0/58, Leeds United, Hull City, Liverpool, Ipswich

8 points, 1.5%, 1/65

0-7 points, 0.0%

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